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| Date | november 14, 2007 |
Move number 1: Timo to play 13
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Pip counts: Timo 145, Figge 158
Position ID: WLfBADSwZ5YDQA Match ID: MIFsAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves bar/22 11/10
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0,302 | (Money: +0,298) | |
| 0,594 0,212 0,019 - 0,406 0,118 0,003 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0,451 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +0,549 |
| 3. | Double, take | +0,321 | -0,130 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (19,1%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | bar/22 11/10 | +0,283 |
| 0,574 0,181 0,014 - 0,426 0,135 0,003 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | bar/22 6/5 | +0,272 ( -0,012) | |
| 0,570 0,190 0,015 - 0,430 0,146 0,005 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | bar/24 11/8 | +0,210 ( -0,074) | |
| 0,547 0,182 0,013 - 0,453 0,131 0,004 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | bar/24 13/10 | +0,149 ( -0,134) | |
| 0,532 0,179 0,013 - 0,468 0,140 0,005 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | bar/22 10/9 | +0,065 ( -0,218) | |
| 0,522 0,186 0,017 - 0,478 0,194 0,009 | ||||
Move number 2: Figge to play 56
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Pip counts: Timo 141, Figge 158
Position ID: sGeOAwhYt8EANA Match ID: cIl6AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 24/18 23/18
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,205 | (Money: -0,203) | |
| 0,426 0,135 0,003 - 0,574 0,181 0,014 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,283 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,283 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0,813 | -0,530 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (29,2%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 24/18 23/18 | -0,107 |
| 0,468 0,126 0,002 - 0,532 0,135 0,005 | ||||
| 2 | 0 | 24/13 | -0,385 ( -0,278) | |
| 0,401 0,111 0,002 - 0,599 0,179 0,009 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | 13/8 13/7 | -0,705 ( -0,597) | |
| 0,330 0,092 0,001 - 0,670 0,199 0,013 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | 24/18 13/8 | -0,826 ( -0,719) | |
| 0,341 0,095 0,003 - 0,659 0,276 0,028 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 24/18 8/3* | -0,831 ( -0,724) | |
| 0,351 0,102 0,003 - 0,649 0,300 0,037 | ||||
Move number 3: Timo to play 24
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Pip counts: Timo 141, Figge 147
Position ID: WLfBYCCwZ44DCA Match ID: MAFxAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 22/20*/16
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0,114 | (Money: +0,113) | |
| 0,547 0,129 0,005 - 0,453 0,113 0,002 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0,170 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +0,830 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0,089 | -0,259 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (23,8%) | ||
Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,328)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 22/20*/16 | +0,633 |
| 0,661 0,146 0,006 - 0,339 0,064 0,001 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 22/20* 10/6 | +0,461 ( -0,172) | |
| 0,614 0,173 0,007 - 0,386 0,085 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | 22/20* 13/9 | +0,371 ( -0,262) | |
| 0,590 0,178 0,009 - 0,410 0,098 0,003 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | 22/20* 6/2 | +0,306 ( -0,327) | |
| 0,577 0,166 0,008 - 0,423 0,108 0,002 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 22/20* 8/4 | +0,079 ( -0,554) | |
| 0,521 0,162 0,009 - 0,479 0,150 0,006 | ||||
Move number 4: Figge to play 35
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Pip counts: Timo 135, Figge 167
Position ID: sGeOIwCY22AwUA Match ID: cIl1AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves bar/22 8/3
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,412 | (Money: -0,409) | |
| 0,339 0,064 0,001 - 0,661 0,146 0,006 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,633 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,633 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,352 | -0,719 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (30,6%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | bar/22 8/3 | -0,617 |
| 0,338 0,061 0,001 - 0,662 0,150 0,006 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | bar/22 7/2 | -0,694 ( -0,077) | |
| 0,324 0,058 0,001 - 0,676 0,154 0,006 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | bar/22 13/8 | -0,732 ( -0,115) | |
| 0,333 0,060 0,001 - 0,667 0,192 0,008 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | bar/22 6/1 | -0,783 ( -0,166) | |
| 0,311 0,053 0,000 - 0,689 0,160 0,005 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | bar/22 18/13 | -0,911 ( -0,294) | |
| 0,306 0,054 0,001 - 0,694 0,208 0,010 | ||||
Move number 5: Timo to play 25
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Pip counts: Timo 135, Figge 159
Position ID: NLdgMCSwZ44jAA Match ID: MAF1AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 16/11 13/11
Alert: missed double ( -0,002)!
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0,422 | (Money: +0,419) | |
| 0,662 0,150 0,006 - 0,338 0,061 0,001 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | Double, take | +0,617 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +0,383 |
| 3. | No double | +0,615 | -0,002 |
| Proper cube action: | Double, take | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 16/11 13/11 | +0,729 |
| 0,696 0,115 0,003 - 0,304 0,047 0,001 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 8/3*/1* | +0,636 ( -0,094) | |
| 0,635 0,256 0,013 - 0,365 0,103 0,004 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 16/14 10/5 | +0,605 ( -0,124) | |
| 0,654 0,155 0,008 - 0,346 0,074 0,002 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 16/14 13/8 | +0,600 ( -0,129) | |
| 0,656 0,143 0,006 - 0,344 0,070 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 16/11 10/8 | +0,595 ( -0,134) | |
| 0,653 0,154 0,009 - 0,347 0,076 0,002 | ||||
Move number 6: Figge to play 43
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Pip counts: Timo 128, Figge 159
Position ID: sGduBgA0t2AwJA Match ID: cAluAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 8/5 7/3
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,465 | (Money: -0,462) | |
| 0,304 0,047 0,001 - 0,696 0,115 0,003 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,729 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,729 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,508 | -0,778 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (31,0%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 8/5 7/3 | -0,614 |
| 0,340 0,065 0,001 - 0,660 0,151 0,007 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 22/18 6/3 | -0,621 ( -0,006) | |
| 0,331 0,052 0,000 - 0,669 0,119 0,003 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 22/18 8/5 | -0,642 ( -0,028) | |
| 0,327 0,052 0,001 - 0,673 0,124 0,004 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 22/18 7/4 | -0,719 ( -0,104) | |
| 0,313 0,049 0,000 - 0,687 0,132 0,004 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 7/4 7/3 | -0,741 ( -0,127) | |
| 0,317 0,056 0,000 - 0,683 0,158 0,006 | ||||
Move number 7: Timo doubles to 2
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Pip counts: Timo 128, Figge 152
Position ID: bF1gMCSwZ24GAA Match ID: MBlgAgAAAAAA
• Figge accepts
Alert: wrong double ( -0,014)!
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0,415 | (Money: +0,412) | |
| 0,660 0,151 0,007 - 0,340 0,065 0,001 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0,614 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +0,386 |
| 3. | Double, take | +0,601 | -0,014 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (3,5%) | ||
Move number 8: Timo to play 26
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Pip counts: Timo 128, Figge 152
Position ID: bF1gMCSwZ24GAA Match ID: EQF5AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 10/4 6/4
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 10/4 6/4 | +0,393 |
| 0,699 0,141 0,005 - 0,301 0,049 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 0 | 11/5 10/8 | +0,208 ( -0,185) | |
| 0,632 0,144 0,006 - 0,368 0,080 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | 10/2 | +0,159 ( -0,233) | |
| 0,619 0,142 0,007 - 0,381 0,095 0,002 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | 11/3* | +0,152 ( -0,241) | |
| 0,609 0,177 0,011 - 0,391 0,116 0,005 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 13/5 | +0,109 ( -0,284) | |
| 0,597 0,137 0,007 - 0,403 0,089 0,002 | ||||
Move number 9: Figge to play 45
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Pip counts: Timo 120, Figge 152
Position ID: 2M5sBgBsXWAwJA Match ID: UQl2AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 13/9 13/8
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,553 | (Money: -0,548) | |
| 0,275 0,036 0,001 - 0,725 0,131 0,004 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,455 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,455 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,766 | -1,310 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (47,4%) | ||
Alert: bad move ( -0,091)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 22/13 | -0,347 | |
| 0,312 0,040 0,000 - 0,688 0,115 0,003 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 22/18 7/2 | -0,414 ( -0,068) | |
| 0,294 0,041 0,000 - 0,706 0,140 0,004 | ||||
| • | 3 | 2 | 13/9 13/8 | -0,438 ( -0,091) |
| 0,324 0,082 0,002 - 0,676 0,255 0,022 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 22/18 13/8 | -0,446 ( -0,100) | |
| 0,295 0,043 0,000 - 0,705 0,172 0,008 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 7/2 6/2 | -0,460 ( -0,113) | |
| 0,295 0,049 0,001 - 0,705 0,190 0,008 | ||||
Move number 10: Timo to play 41
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Pip counts: Timo 120, Figge 143
Position ID: bF0FMCTYzmwGAA Match ID: EQFmAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 11/6
Alert: doubtful move ( -0,058)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 6/1* | +0,347 | |
| 0,663 0,214 0,014 - 0,337 0,091 0,003 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 10/5 | +0,343 ( -0,004) | |
| 0,680 0,149 0,012 - 0,320 0,068 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 13/8 | +0,340 ( -0,007) | |
| 0,686 0,131 0,010 - 0,314 0,062 0,002 | ||||
| • | 4 | 2 | 11/6 | +0,289 ( -0,058) |
| 0,660 0,154 0,014 - 0,340 0,078 0,002 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 8/3* | +0,211 ( -0,135) | |
| 0,613 0,253 0,022 - 0,387 0,141 0,006 | ||||
Move number 11: Figge to play 56
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Pip counts: Timo 115, Figge 143
Position ID: 2J5ZBgBsXQUwJA Match ID: UYl6AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 22/11
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,412 | (Money: -0,408) | |
| 0,340 0,078 0,002 - 0,660 0,154 0,014 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,289 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,289 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,347 | -1,058 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (45,1%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 22/11 | -0,253 |
| 0,347 0,058 0,001 - 0,653 0,120 0,006 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 24/18 9/4 | -0,394 ( -0,140) | |
| 0,294 0,031 0,000 - 0,706 0,109 0,004 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 24/18 7/2 | -0,403 ( -0,149) | |
| 0,295 0,035 0,000 - 0,705 0,124 0,004 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 24/18 8/3 | -0,418 ( -0,165) | |
| 0,287 0,030 0,000 - 0,713 0,115 0,004 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 8/2 7/2 | -0,427 ( -0,173) | |
| 0,312 0,067 0,001 - 0,688 0,212 0,010 | ||||
Move number 12: Timo to play 14
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Pip counts: Timo 115, Figge 132
Position ID: bF0lYCDYnlkGAA Match ID: EYFwAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 11/6
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 11/6 | +0,244 |
| 0,660 0,084 0,002 - 0,340 0,044 0,001 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/1* | +0,111 ( -0,133) | |
| 0,606 0,146 0,007 - 0,394 0,116 0,004 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 11/10 6/2 | +0,001 ( -0,243) | |
| 0,581 0,097 0,004 - 0,419 0,099 0,002 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | 11/10 8/4 | +0,074 ( -0,170) | |
| 0,594 0,101 0,004 - 0,406 0,077 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 10/5 | -0,049 ( -0,293) | |
| 0,553 0,124 0,005 - 0,447 0,125 0,005 | ||||
Move number 13: Figge to play 25
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Pip counts: Timo 110, Figge 132
Position ID: 2D4zBgBsXSVgIA Match ID: UQl1AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 9/4 7/5
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,363 | (Money: -0,361) | |
| 0,340 0,044 0,001 - 0,660 0,084 0,002 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,244 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,244 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,175 | -0,931 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (42,8%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 9/4 7/5 | -0,187 |
| 0,362 0,058 0,001 - 0,638 0,092 0,003 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 11/6 7/5 | -0,188 ( -0,001) | |
| 0,361 0,056 0,001 - 0,639 0,088 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 8/3 7/5 | -0,204 ( -0,017) | |
| 0,356 0,055 0,001 - 0,644 0,092 0,003 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 11/6 9/7 | -0,235 ( -0,048) | |
| 0,348 0,050 0,001 - 0,652 0,099 0,003 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 9/2 | -0,241 ( -0,054) | |
| 0,353 0,062 0,001 - 0,647 0,126 0,006 | ||||
Move number 14: Timo to play 46
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Pip counts: Timo 110, Figge 125
Position ID: 7HYiYCDYPjMGAA Match ID: EQF6AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 10/6 10/4
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 10/6 10/4 | +0,307 |
| 0,681 0,086 0,003 - 0,319 0,033 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 0 | 8/2 6/2 | +0,054 ( -0,253) | |
| 0,587 0,113 0,004 - 0,413 0,094 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 0 | 8/4 8/2 | -0,053 ( -0,360) | |
| 0,555 0,094 0,004 - 0,445 0,107 0,002 | ||||
| 4 | 0 | 10/4 6/2 | -0,282 ( -0,589) | |
| 0,485 0,097 0,004 - 0,515 0,171 0,006 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 13/3 | -0,419 ( -0,726) | |
| 0,437 0,077 0,003 - 0,563 0,174 0,006 | ||||
Move number 15: Figge to play 66
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Pip counts: Timo 100, Figge 125
Position ID: uP0MBgDsdiJgIA Match ID: UQl7AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 24/18 11/5 8/2
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,337 | (Money: -0,335) | |
| 0,354 0,057 0,001 - 0,646 0,099 0,002 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,213 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,213 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,102 | -0,889 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (42,3%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 24/18 11/5 8/2 | -0,055 |
| 0,401 0,017 0,000 - 0,599 0,013 0,000 | ||||
Move number 16: Timo to play 25
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Pip counts: Timo 100, Figge 107
Position ID: 2t0B4AC4/QwGAA Match ID: EQF1AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 6/4 6/1
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 6/1 4/2 | +0,126 | |
| 0,626 0,020 0,000 - 0,374 0,015 0,000 | ||||
| • | 2 | 2 | 6/4 6/1 | +0,124 ( -0,002) |
| 0,626 0,019 0,000 - 0,374 0,016 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 6/1 5/3 | +0,089 ( -0,037) | |
| 0,611 0,020 0,000 - 0,389 0,018 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 8/6 8/3 | -0,071 ( -0,197) | |
| 0,546 0,019 0,000 - 0,454 0,021 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 13/11 13/8 | -0,192 ( -0,318) | |
| 0,496 0,020 0,000 - 0,504 0,028 0,000 | ||||
Move number 17: Figge to play 14
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Pip counts: Timo 93, Figge 107
Position ID: 8fYMBgDa3QHgAA Match ID: UYlwAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 6/2 4/3
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,254 | (Money: -0,254) | |
| 0,374 0,016 0,000 - 0,626 0,019 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,124 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,124 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0,940 | -0,815 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (42,0%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/2 4/3 | -0,138 |
| 0,368 0,020 0,000 - 0,632 0,019 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 18/14 4/3 | -0,144 ( -0,006) | |
| 0,371 0,037 0,001 - 0,629 0,047 0,002 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 18/13 | -0,146 ( -0,007) | |
| 0,368 0,033 0,001 - 0,632 0,040 0,001 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 6/1 | -0,153 ( -0,015) | |
| 0,363 0,019 0,000 - 0,637 0,023 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/2 5/4 | -0,156 ( -0,018) | |
| 0,361 0,018 0,000 - 0,639 0,021 0,000 | ||||
Move number 18: Timo to play 13
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Pip counts: Timo 93, Figge 102
Position ID: drsB4ADx9gwGAA Match ID: EYFsAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 6/3 4/3
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/3 4/3 | +0,180 |
| 0,646 0,024 0,000 - 0,354 0,014 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/5 4/1 | +0,147 ( -0,033) | |
| 0,633 0,023 0,000 - 0,367 0,015 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 4/3 4/1 | +0,145 ( -0,035) | |
| 0,632 0,022 0,000 - 0,368 0,014 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 6/5 6/3 | +0,131 ( -0,049) | |
| 0,628 0,022 0,000 - 0,372 0,017 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/2 | +0,127 ( -0,053) | |
| 0,626 0,021 0,000 - 0,374 0,016 0,000 | ||||
Move number 19: Figge to play 23
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Pip counts: Timo 89, Figge 102
Position ID: 2e0MBgB2uwHgAA Match ID: UQltAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 5/2 3/1
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,303 | (Money: -0,303) | |
| 0,354 0,014 0,000 - 0,646 0,024 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,180 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,180 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,046 | -0,867 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (42,3%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | R | 5/2 3/1 | -0,206 | ||||||||||||||||||
|
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| Full cubeful rollout without var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17550 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1041644672 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | R | 4/1 3/1 | -0,213 ( -0,007) | |||||||||||||||||||
|
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| Full cubeful rollout without var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17549 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1041644672 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | R | 18/15 3/1 | -0,245 ( -0,039) | |||||||||||||||||||
|
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| Full cubeful rollout without var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17549 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1041644672 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 18/13 | -0,217 ( -0,011) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0,346 0,025 0,001 - 0,654 0,051 0,001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/1 | -0,222 ( -0,016) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0,337 0,012 0,000 - 0,663 0,025 0,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Move number 20: Timo to play 32
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Pip counts: Timo 89, Figge 97
Position ID: 3bYB4ADZ7QwGAA Match ID: EYFpAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 6/1
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/1 | +0,196 |
| 0,652 0,025 0,000 - 0,348 0,012 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/3 4/2 | +0,193 ( -0,003) | |
| 0,650 0,030 0,000 - 0,350 0,016 0,001 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 5/2 4/2 | +0,169 ( -0,028) | |
| 0,640 0,030 0,000 - 0,360 0,018 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 4/2 4/1 | +0,168 ( -0,029) | |
| 0,639 0,034 0,000 - 0,361 0,019 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 5/3 4/1 | +0,141 ( -0,055) | |
| 0,628 0,034 0,000 - 0,372 0,019 0,000 | ||||
Move number 21: Figge to play 46
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Pip counts: Timo 84, Figge 97
Position ID: s9sMBgDdtgHgAA Match ID: UQl6AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 18/8
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,318 | (Money: -0,317) | |
| 0,348 0,012 0,000 - 0,652 0,025 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,196 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,196 |
| 3. | Double, take | -1,077 | -0,881 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (42,4%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 18/8 | -0,084 |
| 0,393 0,010 0,000 - 0,607 0,016 0,000 | ||||
Move number 22: Timo to play 66
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Pip counts: Timo 84, Figge 87
Position ID: 3bYJwACz2wwGAA Match ID: EQF7AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 8/2(2)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 8/2(2) | +0,203 |
| 0,655 0,025 0,000 - 0,345 0,010 0,000 | ||||
Move number 23: Figge to play 26
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Pip counts: Timo 72, Figge 87
Position ID: 224DBgDdtgnAAA Match ID: UQl5AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 8/2 3/1
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,279 | (Money: -0,279) | |
| 0,364 0,011 0,000 - 0,636 0,018 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,152 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,152 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0,976 | -0,823 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (41,7%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 8/2 3/1 | -0,237 |
| 0,336 0,004 0,000 - 0,664 0,030 0,001 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 8/2 6/4 | -0,261 ( -0,024) | |
| 0,326 0,004 0,000 - 0,674 0,029 0,001 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 8/2 5/3 | -0,324 ( -0,087) | |
| 0,304 0,004 0,000 - 0,696 0,040 0,002 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 8/2 4/2 | -0,351 ( -0,114) | |
| 0,293 0,003 0,000 - 0,707 0,038 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 0 | 18/10 | -0,587 ( -0,350) | |
| 0,202 0,011 0,000 - 0,798 0,068 0,001 | ||||
Move number 24: Timo to play 46
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Pip counts: Timo 72, Figge 79
Position ID: e20DwADbbgMGAA Match ID: EQF6AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 13/3
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 13/3 | +0,124 |
| 0,614 0,040 0,000 - 0,386 0,010 0,000 | ||||
Move number 25: Figge to play 13
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Pip counts: Timo 62, Figge 79
Position ID: 290GBAB7bQPAAA Match ID: UYlsAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 6/5 6/3
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,255 | (Money: -0,253) | |
| 0,398 0,004 0,000 - 0,602 0,052 0,001 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,082 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,082 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0,919 | -0,837 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (43,6%) | ||
Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,467)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/5 6/3 | -0,570 |
| 0,185 0,001 0,000 - 0,815 0,004 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/3 2/1 | -0,597 ( -0,028) | |
| 0,175 0,001 0,000 - 0,825 0,008 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 4/3 4/1 | -0,609 ( -0,040) | |
| 0,168 0,001 0,000 - 0,832 0,004 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 5/4 5/2 | -0,702 ( -0,132) | |
| 0,136 0,001 0,000 - 0,864 0,020 0,001 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/2 | -0,721 ( -0,151) | |
| 0,132 0,001 0,000 - 0,868 0,028 0,001 | ||||
Move number 26: Timo to play 36
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Pip counts: Timo 62, Figge 75
Position ID: e9sBwADb3QYEAA Match ID: EYF5AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 13/4
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 13/4 | +0,865 |
| 0,942 0,001 0,000 - 0,058 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 27: Figge to play 15
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Pip counts: Timo 53, Figge 75
Position ID: 270NAAB72wHAAA Match ID: UYl0AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 18/12
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,865 | (Money: -0,865) | |
| 0,068 0,000 0,000 - 0,932 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,843 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,843 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,011 | -1,168 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (38,8%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 18/12 | -0,898 |
| 0,044 0,000 0,000 - 0,956 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 18/17 18/13 | -0,906 ( -0,007) | |
| 0,041 0,000 0,000 - 0,959 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 18/13 5/4 | -0,909 ( -0,011) | |
| 0,039 0,000 0,000 - 0,961 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 18/13 2/1 | -0,915 ( -0,017) | |
| 0,037 0,000 0,000 - 0,963 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 18/13 4/3 | -0,916 ( -0,017) | |
| 0,037 0,000 0,000 - 0,963 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 28: Timo to play 15
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Pip counts: Timo 53, Figge 69
Position ID: e9sBgQDbvQ0AAA Match ID: EYF0AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 5/off 1/off
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 5/off 1/off | +0,875 |
| 0,946 0,000 0,000 - 0,054 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/off | +0,854 ( -0,020) | |
| 0,937 0,000 0,000 - 0,063 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 5/off 3/2 | +0,843 ( -0,031) | |
| 0,932 0,000 0,000 - 0,068 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 5/off 4/3 | +0,840 ( -0,035) | |
| 0,931 0,000 0,000 - 0,069 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 5/off 2/1 | +0,826 ( -0,049) | |
| 0,925 0,000 0,000 - 0,075 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 29: Figge to play 15
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Pip counts: Timo 47, Figge 69
Position ID: 7V4DAMDedkAgAA Match ID: UYl0AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 12/6
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,892 | (Money: -0,892) | |
| 0,054 0,000 0,000 - 0,946 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,875 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,875 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,016 | -1,142 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (37,8%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 12/6 | -0,924 |
| 0,033 0,000 0,000 - 0,967 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 18/13 12/11 | -0,929 ( -0,005) | |
| 0,031 0,000 0,000 - 0,969 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 18/12 | -0,932 ( -0,008) | |
| 0,030 0,000 0,000 - 0,970 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 18/13 5/4 | -0,936 ( -0,012) | |
| 0,028 0,000 0,000 - 0,972 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 18/17 12/7 | -0,937 ( -0,013) | |
| 0,027 0,000 0,000 - 0,973 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 30: Timo to play 22
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Pip counts: Timo 47, Figge 63
Position ID: e9sFgADtXgMAAA Match ID: EQFpAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 4/off 2/off(2)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 4/off 2/off(2) | +0,943 |
| 0,976 0,000 0,000 - 0,024 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 4/off 3/1 2/off | +0,937 ( -0,007) | |
| 0,973 0,000 0,000 - 0,027 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 4/off(2) | +0,936 ( -0,008) | |
| 0,972 0,000 0,000 - 0,028 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 6/off 2/off | +0,931 ( -0,013) | |
| 0,970 0,000 0,000 - 0,030 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/4 3/1 2/off(2) | +0,921 ( -0,022) | |
| 0,966 0,000 0,000 - 0,034 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 31: Figge to play 44
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Pip counts: Timo 39, Figge 63
Position ID: uWsAANjbLgAEAA Match ID: UQlyAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 18/6 4/off
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,951 | (Money: -0,951) | |
| 0,024 0,000 0,000 - 0,976 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,943 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,943 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,043 | -1,100 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (36,1%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 18/6 4/off | -0,836 |
| 0,071 0,000 0,000 - 0,929 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 18/2 | -0,899 ( -0,062) | |
| 0,044 0,000 0,000 - 0,956 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 18/6 5/1 | -0,910 ( -0,073) | |
| 0,039 0,000 0,000 - 0,961 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 18/10 6/2 5/1 | -0,926 ( -0,090) | |
| 0,032 0,000 0,000 - 0,968 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 18/10 5/1(2) | -0,938 ( -0,102) | |
| 0,027 0,000 0,000 - 0,973 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 32: Timo to play 46
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Pip counts: Timo 39, Figge 47
Position ID: e+sGAIDcNQAAAA Match ID: EQF6AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 6/off 4/off
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/off 4/off | +0,908 |
| 0,960 0,000 0,000 - 0,040 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/2 6/off | +0,874 ( -0,034) | |
| 0,945 0,000 0,000 - 0,055 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 6/off 5/1 | +0,842 ( -0,066) | |
| 0,932 0,000 0,000 - 0,068 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 33: Figge to play 45
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Pip counts: Timo 29, Figge 47
Position ID: uRUAAPbWDQAAAA Match ID: UQl2AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 5/off 4/off
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,920 | (Money: -0,920) | |
| 0,040 0,000 0,000 - 0,960 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,908 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,908 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,029 | -1,121 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (37,0%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 5/off 4/off | -0,933 |
| 0,029 0,000 0,000 - 0,971 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/2 5/off | -0,963 ( -0,030) | |
| 0,016 0,000 0,000 - 0,984 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 6/1 4/off | -0,968 ( -0,035) | |
| 0,014 0,000 0,000 - 0,986 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 5/1 5/off | -0,970 ( -0,037) | |
| 0,013 0,000 0,000 - 0,987 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/2 6/1 | -0,973 ( -0,040) | |
| 0,012 0,000 0,000 - 0,988 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 34: Timo to play 34
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Pip counts: Timo 29, Figge 38
Position ID: e7MBACC3AgAAAA Match ID: EYFxAgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 4/off 3/off
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 4/off 3/off | +0,946 |
| 0,977 0,000 0,000 - 0,023 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/2 3/off | +0,929 ( -0,017) | |
| 0,969 0,000 0,000 - 0,031 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 5/2 4/off | +0,916 ( -0,030) | |
| 0,964 0,000 0,000 - 0,036 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 5/1 3/off | +0,903 ( -0,043) | |
| 0,958 0,000 0,000 - 0,042 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/3 4/off | +0,887 ( -0,059) | |
| 0,951 0,000 0,000 - 0,049 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 35: Figge to play 16
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Pip counts: Timo 22, Figge 38
Position ID: WQUAgL3ZAAAAAA Match ID: UYl4AgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 6/off 1/off
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,954 | (Money: -0,954) | |
| 0,023 0,000 0,000 - 0,977 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,946 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,946 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,031 | -1,085 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (35,8%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/off 1/off | -0,962 |
| 0,017 0,000 0,000 - 0,983 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/off 5/4 | -0,984 ( -0,022) | |
| 0,007 0,000 0,000 - 0,993 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 6/off 2/1 | -0,986 ( -0,024) | |
| 0,006 0,000 0,000 - 0,994 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 6/5 6/off | -0,987 ( -0,025) | |
| 0,006 0,000 0,000 - 0,994 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 6/off 3/2 | -0,987 ( -0,025) | |
| 0,006 0,000 0,000 - 0,994 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 36: Timo to play 46
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Pip counts: Timo 22, Figge 31
Position ID: vVkAAMgqAAAAAA Match ID: EQF6AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 6/off 4/off
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/off 4/off | +0,986 |
| 0,993 0,000 0,000 - 0,007 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/off 5/1 | +0,976 ( -0,009) | |
| 0,989 0,000 0,000 - 0,011 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 6/2 5/off | +0,974 ( -0,012) | |
| 0,988 0,000 0,000 - 0,012 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 37: Figge to play 33
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Pip counts: Timo 12, Figge 31
Position ID: mQAAoDcLAAAAAA Match ID: UYltAgAAAAAA
• Figge moves 6/off 3/off(2)
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | -0,987 | (Money: -0,987) | |
| 0,007 0,000 0,000 - 0,993 0,000 0,000 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | -0,986 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1,000 | +1,986 |
| 3. | Double, take | -2,043 | -1,058 |
| Proper cube action: | No redouble, take (34,8%) | ||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/off 3/off(2) | -0,989 |
| 0,006 0,000 0,000 - 0,994 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 6/off 5/2 3/off | -0,989 ( -0,000) | |
| 0,005 0,000 0,000 - 0,995 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 5/2(2) 3/off(2) | -0,994 ( -0,005) | |
| 0,003 0,000 0,000 - 0,997 0,000 0,000 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 6/off 5/2(2) | -1,000 ( -0,011) | |
| 0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Move number 38: Timo to play 56
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Pip counts: Timo 12, Figge 19
Position ID: PQYAAJkAAAAAAA Match ID: EYF6AgAAAAAA
• Timo moves 5/off 3/off
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 0 | 5/off 3/off | +0,999 |
| 0,999 0,000 0,000 - 0,001 0,000 0,000 | ||||
Timo wins 2 points
| Game statistics for game 1 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Player | Timo | Figge |
| Checker play statistics | ||
| Total moves | 19 | 18 |
| Unforced moves | 15 | 16 |
| Unmarked moves | 0 | 0 |
| Moves marked good | 18 | 17 |
| Moves marked doubtful | 1 | 0 |
| Moves marked bad | 0 | 1 |
| Moves marked very bad | 0 | 0 |
| Error rate (total) | -0,060 ( -0,413%) | -0,091 ( -0,631%) |
| Error rate (per move) | -4,0 ( -0,028%) | -5,7 ( -0,039%) |
| Chequerplay rating | World class | Expert |
| Luck statistics | ||
| Rolls marked very lucky | 0 | 0 |
| Rolls marked lucky | 1 | 0 |
| Rolls unmarked | 18 | 17 |
| Rolls marked unlucky | 0 | 1 |
| Rolls marked very unlucky | 0 | 0 |
| Luck rate (total) | +0,147 ( +0,755%) | -0,634 ( -4,425%) |
| Luck rate (per move) | +7,7 ( +0,040%) | -35,2 ( -0,246%) |
| Luck rating | None | Better luck next time |
| Cube statistics | ||
| Total cube decisions | 4 | 19 |
| Close or actual cube decisions | 3 | 1 |
| Doubles | 1 | 0 |
| Takes | 0 | 1 |
| Passes | 0 | 0 |
| Missed doubles (below CP) | 1 (-0,002 ( -0,007%)) | 0 |
| Missed doubles (above CP) | 0 | 0 |
| Wrong doubles (below DP) | 1 (-0,014 ( -0,047%)) | 0 |
| Wrong doubles (above TG) | 0 | 0 |
| Wrong takes | 0 | 0 |
| Wrong passes | 0 | 0 |
| Error rate (total) | -0,016 ( -0,054%) | +0,000 |
| Error rate (per cube decision) | -5,3 ( -0,018%) | +0,0 |
| Cube decision rating | Expert | Supernatural |
| Overall statistics | ||
| Error rate (total) | -0,076 ( -0,468%) | -0,091 ( -0,631%) |
| Error rate (per decision) | -4,2 ( -0,026%) | -5,4 ( -0,037%) |
| Equiv. Snowie error rate | -2,1 | -2,5 |
| Overall rating | World class | Expert |
| Actual result | +6,90% | -6,90% |
| Luck adjusted result | +1,72% | -1,72% |
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